The CJ Cup Byron Nelson betting and DFS preview | Going For The Green | Golf Channel [Video]

0:00 | welcome to going for the green I’m Brad

0:02 | Thomas here with Denny Carter and this

0:03 | week we are breaking down our favorite

0:05 | bets and plays for the CJ cup Byron

0:07 | Nelson Denny before we get into it man

0:10 | I’m gonna have to give you a massive pad

0:12 | on the back because you absolutely

0:14 | carried our team for the zge classic

0:16 | congratulations on not only having an

0:19 | absolute stunning card you selected the

0:21 | outright champion and Roy Maloy and

0:23 | Shane Lowry I should have listened more

0:26 | to myself Brad when I I should have had

0:28 | all all of the Lowry mroy team I did

0:31 | have a a good exposure to them in

0:33 | DraftKings uh tournaments it paid off to

0:35 | an extent but hey look I’m glad that we

0:38 | were able to figure out an algorithm

0:40 | that showed us that despite these guys

0:43 | low and malroy may be partying in New

0:45 | Orleans maybe maybe having a good time

0:47 | after the rounds they they were still

0:48 | going to come through that’s what the

0:49 | algorithm said uh that’s what our model

0:52 | said so we listen to them and and we’re

0:53 | going to go forward with that you know

0:55 | what’s awesome uh we talked about them

0:57 | partying in New Orleans they absolutely

0:59 | did the talk of the town was Roy Maly

1:01 | and Shane Lowry up on stage doing

1:03 | karaoke with drinks in their hands so

1:05 | like I mean I guess maybe we should uh

1:08 | Strokes game party life we should kind

1:09 | of boost it up a little bit more who

1:11 | knows but let’s get into it um I know

1:14 | you’re talking about Mr cashmir Keith

1:17 | Keith Mitchell I want to say at 40 to1

1:20 | he’s a guy who is on my card so I smiled

1:22 | a little bit and I want to ride your hot

1:24 | hand tell me what you like about Keith

1:26 | Mitchell I mean he’s he’s tearing the

1:28 | cover off the ball I mean he’s out there

1:30 | with his big old visor I mean the thing

1:32 | the thing I actually think that his

1:33 | visor gets a little bit bigger every

1:35 | week and it’s it’s just it’s just like a

1:36 | bit to toy with us as golf fans but I’m

1:39 | into it I’m okay with the visor as long

1:41 | as he is he keeps hitting it first in

1:43 | ball striking in this field third in

1:45 | Strokes gained on approach uh every week

1:47 | he is just a machine uh from the Fairway

1:51 | accuracy off the tea is a little bit of

1:53 | a question and that is important here

1:55 | I’m willing to overlook that because of

1:57 | his second shot ability uh if you could

2:00 | just keep it together on the weekend it

2:02 | would really really help me out I really

2:04 | do think that he’s not going to be super

2:07 | high rostered in DraftKings tournaments

2:09 | it makes him very interesting you know

2:11 | uh what I love about what you said is

2:13 | he’s tearing the cover off the ball this

2:14 | is another course where ball striking is

2:16 | going to be absolutely massive this is

2:18 | like the Run of events where you just

2:19 | want to take ball Strikers I’m going

2:21 | with a ball Striker and I was not going

2:23 | to flirt with the the lower price guys

2:25 | guys anyone under 20 to one um

2:28 | especially with how early in the season

2:31 | we were seeing long shots win but with

2:32 | Scotty sheffler winning multiple times

2:34 | with Rory malroy and Shane Lowry winning

2:37 | at 7 to1 I’m diving back in because I

2:40 | think the year of the long shots kind of

2:41 | decimated especially at this point in

2:43 | the season I’m taking SEIU Kim at 18 to

2:45 | one so there’s two incredible stats and

2:48 | I will just give a quick plug to rickun

2:50 | good.com where you can find this listed

2:52 | out it’s how many times a guy gains any

2:55 | kind of stroke to the field and then

2:57 | another field is how many times a guy

2:59 | gains at least one stroke to the field

3:00 | you can go all the way up to five um but

3:02 | I only did it for one and two just

3:04 | because it’s a birdie Fest you’re not

3:05 | going to gain that many strokes to the

3:06 | field we’ll see who Kim is number one in

3:08 | both of those in the last 36 rounds it’s

3:10 | also important to note that seuk Kim is

3:12 | the runner up here last

3:14 | season and if you look at a stat profile

3:17 | just about every single event outside

3:19 | the Masters he was a big Gainer on

3:21 | approach we know he’s really excellent

3:23 | off the T and by excellent means he hits

3:25 | Fairways which is what you need here

3:27 | just hit Fairways you don’t need to be

3:29 | crazy long the length helps and you want

3:31 | to be really good on Approach at 18 to1

3:33 | it was a little juicy for my appetite

3:35 | but I figured if I were to look at all

3:37 | the guys on the board who set up the

3:39 | most SEI Wu Kim is absolutely a guy who

3:42 | I could ignore a bunch of the price and

3:46 | just take the better golfer absolutely

3:48 | and and like you said uh you know

3:50 | accuracy matters a lot more than

3:52 | distance at this event on this course

3:55 | and by almost every measure seim is the

3:57 | most accurate driver on tour this season

4:00 | so he’s going to put himself in position

4:01 | to score I’m I’m totally with you there

4:04 | so um I was a better of Chan Kim about

4:07 | five events ago I got him at 150 to1 I

4:11 | think he finished like top 10 I didn’t

4:13 | play him in the eway market I didn’t

4:15 | play him in DFS I didn’t play him in the

4:17 | placement Market I was absolutely felt

4:20 | embarrassed I think he was 250 to1 it

4:22 | was the actual price um so you like Chan

4:24 | Kim at 7600 on DraftKings what do you

4:27 | like about him yeah so he’s really

4:29 | turned it around as far as ball striking

4:32 | goes over the past month or so he had a

4:35 | tie tie for 14th finish at Valero Texas

4:37 | open tied for sixth at corales pakana uh

4:41 | last week his team tied for 28th at the

4:44 | Zurich event uh he’s top 20 in ball

4:47 | striking in this field uh do do me a

4:49 | favor and do yourself a favor don’t look

4:51 | at Chan Kim’s ball striking numbers

4:54 | before like the beginning of March okay

4:56 | because they are really really ugly uh

4:59 | he has turned it around and and here’s

5:01 | the thing so 7600 on DraftKings I

5:03 | actually think is not a good price for

5:06 | Chan Kim so why are you talking about

5:07 | him this is this is the natural question

5:09 | because at 7600 nobody is gonna roster

5:12 | this guy I I think that there are guys

5:14 | who are six

5:15 | eight, uh less than than Kim on

5:18 | DraftKings who are going to see much

5:19 | higher roster percentage so if you’re

5:20 | playing tournaments I think Kim is just

5:22 | a name that will be completely ignored

5:24 | here and he’s trending in the right

5:26 | direction okay Mr Chan kemell I’m going

5:28 | to go to another guy um who I actually

5:31 | think is kind of under the radar it’s

5:34 | hard to say that this golfer doesn’t get

5:37 | respect because of how well he’s done on

5:39 | the corn fairy tour but when it comes to

5:42 | the PGA Tour we knew his breakthrough

5:44 | was coming when you have that kind of

5:45 | success on another tour and you come

5:46 | over you come over to the PGA Tour it’s

5:48 | just bound to happen he was knocking a

5:50 | lot and he broke through the glass at

5:52 | the Houston open and that’s Stephen jger

5:54 | his price at one point was like 3540 to1

5:56 | I bet him at 33 to1 and I bet him to

5:59 | finish top 20 at plus 165 little fun

6:03 | fact he’s the only golfer to beat Scotty

6:04 | Sheffer in the last five starts of

6:06 | Scotty Sheffer but when we think about

6:10 | his makeup what makes him such a good

6:12 | golfer outside of the pedigree of

6:14 | winning on the corn fairy tour one of

6:15 | the winnest winningest golfers in a

6:18 | single corn fairy tour season it’s what

6:21 | he does well he’s a great driver of the

6:23 | ball who’s also long off the te and then

6:26 | when I was building out my model I

6:27 | wanted to see where he would fall I

6:29 | would him even if he finished inside the

6:30 | top like bottom 20 not bottom 20 but in

6:33 | the bottom of the top 20 he actually

6:35 | finished fifth and a lot of that has to

6:37 | do with at this course it’s going to be

6:38 | a birdie Fest a lot of that to do is

6:40 | birdie betters or gain also the top

6:43 | three easiest holes on this course are

6:45 | all par fives he’s top 10 in par five

6:49 | scoring which helps me out a lot I think

6:51 | that uh Stephen jer’s at this point of

6:53 | his career where he’s going to be a

6:55 | multiple PGA Tour winner and I think it

6:58 | can happen year after after year so why

7:00 | not event like this we draw parallels to

7:03 | the this being a corn fairy tour like

7:06 | field well he dominated the corn fairy

7:08 | tour I think he has a good chance to

7:09 | dominate this event uh yeah I mean this

7:12 | is a guy who eats up par fives like you

7:14 | mentioned and that’s going to be

7:15 | important here um he doesn’t do poorly

7:18 | in in birdie Fest either and yeah he he

7:21 | did beat Scotty Sheffer it doesn’t look

7:22 | the fact that Scotty cheff should have

7:24 | made that putt on on the 72nd hole

7:27 | Scotty yeah so so they were forgetting

7:30 | that Steph jger beat him head

7:33 | tohe all right let’s get to our last

7:36 | golfers um who do you like in kind of

7:38 | that long shot uh pivot kind of role um

7:42 | on DS this week yeah uh Joel Joel domon

7:46 | uh Joel Damon I should say 6,800 on on

7:48 | DraftKings he’s fourth in this field in

7:50 | Strokes gained on approach third in ball

7:52 | striking over the past two months the

7:54 | thing is r as you know my man Joel

7:57 | cannot make a putt and I don’t mean like

8:00 | long putt any I mean a single putt

8:03 | that’s not a tap in he’s 140th out of

8:06 | 143 in this field in Strokes gain

8:08 | putting it is an absolute disaster on

8:09 | the greens my guy Joel doesn’t have much

8:12 | confidence around the greens or on the

8:14 | greens thankfully he’s ripping the cover

8:16 | off the ball like his friend Kashmir

8:17 | Keith and they combined last week to uh

8:20 | uh not almost win the the Zurich but uh

8:22 | but put put up a fight until the weekend

8:24 | it makes you wonder about their partying

8:27 | habits honestly but uh uh domond I do I

8:31 | do like domond as a lowc cost option

8:32 | even if even if he cuts the top off his

8:34 | bucket hat which he did last week I know

8:36 | you saw that he he cut it off he looked

8:39 | absolutely ridiculous uh hopefully that

8:42 | that brings him some luck this week if

8:43 | he keeps that up if I know the memes and

8:46 | watching the Netflix series these guys

8:49 | definitely love the party so no surprise

8:51 | there but I’m gonna go with um kind of

8:53 | an interesting bet I don’t play this

8:55 | Market all that often but I will say I

8:57 | will preface it by say this if I bet

9:00 | Alex norin as the top SC Scandinavian

9:03 | player at plus 150 i’ get a better price

9:06 | by almost five 50 cents if I bet him

9:10 | here versus the top Swedish player at

9:12 | minus

9:13 | 115 um I bet Alex Nan win uh but at 28

9:18 | to1 I don’t think that he has enough win

9:20 | equity for me really to dive in those

9:22 | Waters and advise it as hey guys this is

9:24 | my favorite bet I actually do love this

9:27 | bet here because first and foremost if

9:29 | you look get adjusted course fit I use

9:31 | that metric a lot of kind of like a

9:33 | starting point right like how my brain

9:35 | works I like putting things in lists I

9:37 | list out all of these but adjusted

9:39 | course fit is kind of one of the first

9:40 | things I list out then I list out uh

9:43 | recent results five straight top 25

9:46 | finishes he’s really great at par fives

9:49 | and it’s important to note that the guys

9:52 | he’s playing with are really up and down

9:56 | on the season roller coaster rise when

9:58 | you think at you think about olssen

9:59 | Norman Jor norlander yeah sure they have

10:01 | these big prices but if you want

10:03 | consistency if you were to run this bet

10:05 | back at the same course five or 10 times

10:07 | I think noren’s gonna be the guy that

10:08 | you’re gonna want to go after at plus

10:10 | 150 we love our Scandinavians we and and

10:13 | I and I like Alex norin a lot this week

10:15 | he he fits he fits a lot of the the the

10:18 | key metrics for this course yeah man as

10:21 | always this was fun I I hope that you

10:23 | guys got a little bit of insights on how

10:26 | we’re going to play this week and how

10:27 | you can make money if Denny continue to

10:29 | stay hot he’s going to buy me drinks

10:31 | next time I see him oh before you go

10:34 | make sure you check out nbcsports.com to

10:36 | help with all of your Wagers for Denny

10:38 | Carter I’m Brad Thomas thanks for

10:40 | checking out going for the green

Stream

The CJ Cup Byron Nelson betting and DFS preview | Going For The Green | Golf Channel [Video]

Video Description

Video Transcript

1 Comment

Submit a Comment Cancel reply

our blog

Related posts

No Results Found